Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.705569 0.905435 1.130313 1.399083 1.708604 2.051052 2.455713
2025-05-04 0.418528 0.661825 0.972098 1.382972 1.899205 2.513589 3.287085
2025-05-11 0.239468 0.480500 0.831651 1.344636 2.040556 2.920028 4.083209
2025-05-18 0.143652 0.372368 0.752724 1.359616 2.237304 3.400186 4.996419
2025-05-25 0.076842 0.274255 0.655962 1.322855 2.348382 3.767142 5.779430
2025-06-01 0.048587 0.233253 0.638449 1.397142 2.616485 4.354465 6.874261
2025-06-08 0.025581 0.183459 0.587083 1.402939 2.776247 4.793765 7.783147
2025-06-15 0.016280 0.165041 0.592351 1.503779 3.086337 5.457548 9.020206
2025-06-22 0.008867 0.141749 0.578262 1.564583 3.332961 6.035827 10.153309
2025-06-29 0.003880 0.116835 0.550327 1.592384 3.523500 6.534865 11.185690
2025-07-06 0.000939 0.087709 0.497273 1.559133 3.604409 6.867412 11.984934
2025-07-13 0.000164 0.071383 0.473635 1.581706 3.780195 7.348148 13.007823
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.056736 0.448631 1.599484 3.952636 7.837142 14.068062
2025-07-27 NaN 0.039318 0.399797 1.552793 4.002719 8.133770 14.851713
2025-08-03 NaN 0.025627 0.351805 1.496726 4.028131 8.388832 15.577386
2025-08-10 NaN 0.018848 0.330948 1.505320 4.176679 8.847776 16.620641
2025-08-17 NaN 0.011608 0.294263 1.462095 4.217657 9.127726 17.394419
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010091 0.299442 1.539572 4.506645 9.830933 18.833875
2025-08-31 NaN 0.006846 0.281615 1.544718 4.645931 10.283411 19.891536
2025-09-07 NaN 0.006549 0.295992 1.651783 5.003248 11.116165 21.555873
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005372 0.297002 1.716295 5.272932 11.803769 23.002584
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003822 0.287744 1.745752 5.468635 12.367524 24.262684
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001950 0.260903 1.710255 5.520772 12.681768 25.132580